Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 27
Apr 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Khaleej
1 - 4
Al-Hilal

Sherif (9')
Al Hamsal (45+1'), Al Khabrani (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Al-Shehri (7'), Malcom (42', 48'), Alhamddan (90+6' pen.)
Al-Shehri (45+4'), Alhamddan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Khaleej and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Khaleej

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 0-1 Al Khaleej
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Okhdood
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.69%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al KhaleejDrawAl-Hilal
7.4% (-0.0121 -0.01)13.32% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)79.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67% (0.048000000000002 0.05)33% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.27% (0.055 0.05)54.72% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.62% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)83.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44% (0.014999999999986 0.01)6.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.58% (0.043999999999997 0.04)24.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Al Khaleej 7.4%
    Al-Hilal 79.27%
    Draw 13.32%
Al KhaleejDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 7.4%
1-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 13.32%
0-2 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 10.69%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 7.29% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-6 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 79.27%

How you voted: Al Khaleej vs Al-Hilal

Al Khaleej
9.5%
Draw
4.8%
Al-Hilal
85.7%
21
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 10
Al-Hilal
1-0
Al Khaleej
Mitrovic (30')
Abdul Hamid (35'), Neves (47')

Woo-young (23'), Martins (70')
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