J1 League | Gameweek 14

May 15, 2024 at 11am UK

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
5 - 2
Kawasaki

Yokoyama (26', 37'), Ryan (44'), Harada (47'), Kawata (75')
Yokoyama (18')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Takai (13'), Ienaga (45+3')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions

Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Consadole
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
29.41% ( -0.13)	24.2% ( -0.03)	46.38% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.01% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

0.06)

44.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

0.06)

66.61% (

-0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

-0.06)

28.19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12% (

-0.07)

63.88% (

0.07)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

0.09)

19.21% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09% (

0.15)

50.91% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 29.41%

Kawasaki Frontale 46.38%

Draw 24.2%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.41%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.38%