J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 1, 2024 7.00am
1
3
HT : 2 4
FT Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
  • Shota Fujio 27' goal
  • Shota Fujio 27' goal
  • goal Yota Komi 24'
  • goal Yota Komi 24'
  • goal Soya Fujiwara 45'
  • goal Soya Fujiwara 45'
  • goal Min-kyu Jang 52' (OG)
  • goal Min-kyu Jang 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Fitzgerald 74'
  • yellowcard Michael Fitzgerald 74'

Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
May 26, 2024 8.00am
Urawa 1 - 2 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Se-Hun Oh

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
May 25, 2024 8.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Machida Zelvia 42.77% (+0.57)
Draw 26.51% (+0.04)
Albirex Niigata 30.72% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.2% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.56% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 53.44% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 25.03% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 74.97% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 11.38% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 88.62% (+0.20)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 75.24% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 24.76% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 40.68% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 59.32% (-0.18)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 68.05% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 31.95% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 31.59% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 68.41% (+0.71)

Score analysis

Machida Zelvia 42.76%
Draw 26.51%
Albirex Niigata 30.72%
Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.04% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.8% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.71% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.51%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.72%