J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 26, 2024 at 8am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
1 - 2
Machida Zelvia

Ito (54')
Scholz (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hirakawa (52'), Shimoda (90+6' pen.)
Sento (35'), Shimoda (83')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 5-0 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawMachida Zelvia
43.18% (-1.361 -1.36)26.37% (0.402 0.4)30.44% (0.956 0.96)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (-1.211 -1.21)52.99% (1.209 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-1.042 -1.04)74.58% (1.04 1.04)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (-1.19 -1.19)24.35% (1.189 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (-1.713 -1.71)58.75% (1.71 1.71)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.92% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (0.077000000000002 0.08)68.37% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 43.18%
    Machida Zelvia 30.44%
    Draw 26.36%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.431 0.43)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.255 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.44%