J1 League Gameweek 16
May 25, 2024 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Fumiya Hayakawa 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Seiya Inoue 34'
  • goal Hiroyuki Mae 37'
  • yellowcard Douglas Grolli 76'
  • goal Kazuya Konno 85'

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2024 8.00am
Shonan Bellmare 2 - 1 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2024 8.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 3 Cerezo
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Shahab Zahedi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 39.97% (+0.85)
Draw 26.56% (-0.03)
Avispa Fukuoka 33.47% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.97% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.12% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 52.88% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.51% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 74.49% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.68% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.32% (+0.03)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 74.03% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 25.97% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 39.02% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 60.98% (-0.59)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 70.19% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 29.8% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 34.12% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 65.88% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 39.96%
Draw 26.56%
Avispa Fukuoka 33.47%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.43% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.83% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.56%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 33.47%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 24
Aug 18, 2023 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Yosuke Ideguchi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Tatsuki Nara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hiroki Akiyama 6'
  • goal Yota Maejima 19' (OG)
  • yellowcard Taiki Watanabe 38'
  • yellowcard Naoto Arai 54'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2023 6.00am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Ryotaro Ito 47' goal
  • Ryotaro Ito 90'+3' goal
  • Ryotaro Ito 90'+5' goal
  • goal Kazuya Konno 17'
  • goal Itsuki Oda 32'