Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.