J1 League | Gameweek 17

Jun 2, 2024 at 9.13am UK

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Ienaga (5', 18')
Takai (53'), Tachibanada (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Chang-Rae (89')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, May 25 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
43.63% ( -0.9)	25.41% ( 0.21)	30.96% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

-0.6)

48.8% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

-0.55)

70.9% (

0.55)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.67)

22.31% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

-1.02)

55.78% (

1.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

0.17)

29.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

0.2)

65.42% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 43.63%

Nagoya Grampus 30.96%

Draw 25.4%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.63%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.96%