Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
42.68% ( 0.24)	27.35% ( 0.02)	29.96% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.07% (

-0.16)

56.93% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.16% (

-0.13)

77.84% (

0.13)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

0.05)

26.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

0.07)

61.54% (

-0.07)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67% (

-0.28)

34.33% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97% (

-0.3)

71.03% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 42.67%

Kyoto Sanga 29.96%

Draw 27.35%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.67%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.96%