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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Nagoya Grampus


Harada (12')
Harada (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Inagaki (6'), Masui (50')
Izumi (45+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-2 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
30.94% (1.426 1.43) 25.83% (0.107 0.11) 43.23% (-1.526 -1.53)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (0.182 0.18)50.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.162 0.16)72.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (1.103 1.1)30.34% (-1.097 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (1.295 1.29)66.53% (-1.289 -1.29)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.646 -0.65)23.27% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.953 -0.95)57.2% (0.96 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 30.94%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.23%
    Draw 25.82%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.193 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.245 0.25)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 2% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.94%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.352 -0.35)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.23%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 11am
Gameweek 31
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Junker (65')
Yonemoto (77'), Morishita (90+5')
Togashi (89')
Yamazaki (50')
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Aug 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Tezuka (90+1')
Inagaki (71')
Mar 6, 2022 5am
Gameweek 3
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Fukuta (2' og.)
Yoshida (88')
Fukuta (30')
Koizumi (80')
Jul 17, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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