J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-2 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
30.94% ( 1.43) | 25.83% ( 0.11) | 43.23% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
