J1 League | Gameweek 14

May 15, 2024 at 11am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
FC Tokyo

Junker (33' pen., 66', 71')
Uchida (14'), Yoshida (17'), Nagai (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Araki (78')
Bangunagande (23'), Kimoto (81')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-3 Reysol
Saturday, May 11 at 9am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	FC Tokyo
28.98% ( 0.04)	27.69% ( 0.01)	43.32% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.9% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.47% (

0.01)

58.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.89% (

79.1% (

-0)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06% (

0.04)

35.93% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29% (

0.04)

72.71% (

-0.04)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

-0.02)

26.79% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-0.03)

62.08% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 28.98%

FC Tokyo 43.31%

Draw 27.68%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.98%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.31%