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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
26.38%29.62%43.99%
Both teams to score 40.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.19%65.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55%84.45%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8%42.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4%78.6%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.38%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.99%
    Draw 29.61%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 26.38%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.61%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.11%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head

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Apr 18, 2021 7am
gameweek 10
1-2
Inagaki (85')
Nagasawa (44')
Hayashi (6'), Sakai (45')
Hayashi (24'), Iino (31')
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Xavier (85')
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cerezo OsakaCerezo8530125718
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima8440134916
3Machida Zelvia8512117416
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe8422136714
5Yokohama F MarinosYokohama8422129314
6Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers841386213
7Kashiwa ReysolReysol834176113
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus841377013
9FC Tokyo83321312112
10Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka833277012
11Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa83231211111
12Avispa Fukuoka824267-110
13Jubilo Iwata8305111109
14Albirex Niigata823379-29
15Tokyo Verdy81521213-18
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki82151011-17
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare81341116-56
18Kyoto Sanga8134712-56
19Consadole SapporoConsadole8125516-115
20Sagan Tosu8116716-94


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