J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 10.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Yuki Ohashi 60' goal
  • Shunki Higashi 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daiki Matsuoka 36'
  • yellowcard Daiki Miya 90'+2'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Jul 5, 2024 11.00am
Hiroshima 1 - 3 Vissel Kobe
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
Jul 7, 2024 11.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Shahab Zahedi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.58% (+0.11)
Draw 23.43% (-0.03)
Avispa Fukuoka 16.99% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.28% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.39% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.89% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.1% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.29% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.71% (+0.02)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 82.29% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.7% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 51.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.36% (-0.05)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 55.02% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 44.97% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 19.08% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 80.91% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.57%
Draw 23.42%
Avispa Fukuoka 16.99%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 13.78% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.93% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 59.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.96% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.42%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.99%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 13, 2024 6.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Shahab Zahedi 22' goal
  • Shahab Zahedi 22' goal
  • Yuto Iwasaki 30' yellowcard
  • Yuto Iwasaki 30' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 55' yellowcard
  • Masaya Tashiro 55' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 61' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 61' yellowcard
  • Douglas Grolli 64' yellowcard
  • Douglas Grolli 64' yellowcard
  • Yota Maejima 74' yellowcard
  • Yota Maejima 74' yellowcard
  • Wellington 84' yellowcard
  • Wellington 84' yellowcard
  • goal Sho Sasaki 25'
  • goal Sho Sasaki 25'
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 58'
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 58'
  • yellowcard Takumu Kawamura 67'
  • yellowcard Takumu Kawamura 67'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Daiki Miya 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shuto Nakano 28'
  • goal Hayato Araki 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 5.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT EDION Stadium
  • Pieros Soteriou 50' goal
  • Yuya Yamagishi 72' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 89' goal
  • goal Yuya Yamagishi 30'
J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2022 10.30am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daiki Watari 37' goal
  • Douglas Grolli 67' yellowcard
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 28'
  • yellowcard Nassim Ben Khalifa 45'
  • yellowcard Gakuto Notsuda 68'
  • goal Douglas Vieira 77'
  • goal Douglas Vieira 86'
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 10, 2022 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hayato Araki 56' yellowcard
  • Junior Santos 66' yellowcard
  • Kosei Shibasaki 90'+4' goal
J1 League Gameweek 23
Aug 9, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Takaaki Shichi 57' yellowcard
  • Takaaki Shichi 62' redcard
  • Masato Yuzawa 72' yellowcard
  • Hiroyuki Mae 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Toshihiro Aoyama 10'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 56'
  • goal Junior Santos 67'