Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
59.58% ( 0.11)	23.43% ( -0.02)	16.99% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39% (

-0.03)

53.6% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89% (

-0.03)

75.1% (

0.02)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

0.03)

17.7% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

0.05)

48.36% (

-0.05)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.02% (

-0.13)

44.97% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

-0.1)

80.91% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.57%

Avispa Fukuoka 16.99%

Draw 23.42%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 59.57%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 16.99%