Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.