J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
3 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Muto (18'), Thuler (38'), Osako (62')
Maekawa (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cavric (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Kashima Antlers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawKashima Antlers
45.63% (0.258 0.26)26.48% (-0.118 -0.12)27.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.74% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (0.375 0.38)54.58% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (0.312 0.31)75.93% (-0.309 -0.31)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.29000000000001 0.29)23.86% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.412 0.41)58.05% (-0.409 -0.41)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32% (0.090000000000003 0.09)34.68% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.59% (0.093999999999998 0.09)71.41% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 45.63%
    Kashima Antlers 27.89%
    Draw 26.47%
Vissel KobeDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers

Vissel Kobe
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Kashima Antlers
60.0%
5
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 7am
Gameweek 15
Kashima Antlers
1-0
Vissel Kobe
Nono (81')

Yamakawa (44'), Muto (53')
Oct 21, 2023 6am
Gameweek 30
Vissel Kobe
3-1
Kashima Antlers
Sasaki (16', 83'), Ide (44')
Matsumura (90+1')
Apr 15, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Kashima Antlers
1-5
Vissel Kobe
Suzuki (61')
Osako (24', 48'), Muto (45+2', 85'), Sasaki (72')
Jul 16, 2022 10am
Gameweek 22
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Vissel Kobe
Izumi (87')
Stum (16'), Min-tae (44')
Min-tae (60')
Osako (52')
Kobayashi (66'), Yamakawa (90')
Mar 11, 2022 10am
Gameweek 4
Vissel Kobe
0-2
Kashima Antlers

Samper (90+7')
Misao (7'), Suzuki (54')
Doi (26'), Suzuki (41'), Higuchi (46'), Pituca (52')