Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Carl Zeiss Jena win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Carl Zeiss Jena	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
11.43% ( 0.04)	16.73% ( 0.06)	71.84% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.56% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.69% (

-0.16)

36.31% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.56% (

-0.17)

58.44% (

0.18)

Carl Zeiss Jena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.68% (

-0.04)

42.32% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.29% (

-0.03)

78.71% (

0.04)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.13% (

-0.06)

8.88% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.63% (

-0.15)

30.37% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Carl Zeiss Jena 11.44%

Bayer Leverkusen 71.83%

Draw 16.73%

Carl Zeiss Jena	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.44%	1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.07% 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.73%	0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 71.83%