La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 1
Osasuna

Mumin (50'), Ratiu (66'), Lopez (90+5')
Camello (59'), Mumin (78'), Lopez (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (27')
Zaragoza (19'), Moreno (20'), Moncayola (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, August 31 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 3-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Osasuna
45.96% ( -0.43)	27.02% ( 0.03)	27.02% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 47.6% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

0.12)

57.06% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

0.1)

77.94% (

-0.1)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-0.16)

24.79% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64% (

-0.22)

59.36% (

0.21)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28% (

0.4)

36.72% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.5% (

0.4)

73.5% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 45.96%

Osasuna 27.02%

Draw 27.01%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.02%