Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (13.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.