Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 38.82% ( | 30.12% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.52% ( | 84.48% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( | 33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( | 69.58% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( | 38.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.89% ( | 75.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0-0 @ 12.65% ( 2-2 @ 3.57% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.05% |