Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 42.23% | 27.34% | 30.42% |
| Both teams to score 48.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% | 56.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.32% | 77.68% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% | 26.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% | 61.73% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% | 33.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% | 70.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.42% |