La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
3 - 2
Celta Vigo

Boyomo (21'), Dominguez (45' og.), Bretones (62')
Torro (66'), Garcia (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Iglesias (29'), Gomez (90+1' og.)
Alfon (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 4-0 Osasuna
Thursday, August 29 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Celta Vigo
44.91% ( 0.16)	27.14% ( 0.04)	27.95% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 47.85% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-0.23)

57.03% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-0.19)

77.92% (

0.19)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

-0.02)

25.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

-0.03)

60.06% (

0.03)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05% (

-0.29)

35.95% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.28% (

-0.3)

72.72% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 44.9%

Celta Vigo 27.95%

Draw 27.14%

Osasuna	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.95%