La Liga
Gameweek
3
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-
Sergi Cardona
26'
-
Kiko Femenia
55'
-
Thiemo Barry
60'
-
Jailson
64'
-
Raul Albiol
80'
-
Pape Gueye
85'
-
Dani Parejo
90'+10'
-
Nicolas Pepe
90'+11'
-
Borja Iglesias
12'
-
Oscar Mingueza
31'
-
Ilaix Moriba
52'
-
Carl Starfelt
80'
-
Williot Swedberg
88'
-
Hugo Alvarez
90'+8'
Villarreal vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result
Villarreal
44.96%
▲
(+0.48)
Draw
23.89%
▼
(-0.24)
Celta Vigo
31.15%
▼
(-0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
60.12%
▲
(+0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.1%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 2.5
41.9%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 3.5
35.7%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 3.5
64.3%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 4.5
18.79%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 4.5
81.21%
▼
(-0.75)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5
81.12%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 0.5
18.87%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 1.5
49.66%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 1.5
50.34%
▼
(-1.00)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5
74.11%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
25.89%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 1.5
39.12%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
60.87%
▼
(-0.47)
Score analysis
Villarreal
44.96%
Draw
23.88%
Celta Vigo
31.15%
Villarreal
2-1
@
9.18%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 44.96%
1-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 44.96%
Draw
1-1
@
11%
▼
(-0.18)
2-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.88%
2-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.88%
Celta Vigo
1-2
@
7.44%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 31.15%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
34
-
Iago Aspas
22'
-
Javi Manquillo
25'
-
Damian Rodriguez
33'
-
Jorgen Strand Larsen
39'
-
Williot Swedberg
64'
-
Anastasios Douvikas
77'
-
Anastasios Douvikas
82'
-
Anastasios Douvikas
85'
-
Alberto Moreno
12'
-
Santi Comesana
17'
-
Goncalo Guedes
65'
La Liga
Gameweek
18
-
Alfonso Pedraza
13'
-
Aissa Mandi
40'
-
Dani Parejo
48'
-
Alex Baena
75'
-
Santi Comesana
76'
-
Kevin Vazquez
46'
-
Anastasios Douvikas
52'
-
Jorgen Strand Larsen
57'
-
Oscar Mingueza
72'
-
Manu Sanchez
82'
-
Anastasios Douvikas
85'
La Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Nicolas Jackson
2'
-
Nicolas Jackson
12'
-
Ramon Terrats
70'
-
Jorgen Strand Larsen
29'
La Liga
Gameweek
17
-
Jorgen Strand Larsen
68'
-
Gerard Moreno
15'
La Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Vicente Iborra
34'
-
Dani Parejo
64'
-
Javi Galan
90'+4'
La Liga
Gameweek
14
-
Santi Mina
17'
-
Brais Mendez
72'
-
Alberto Moreno
27'
-
Juan Foyth
45'