La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
4 - 3
Celta Vigo

Cardona (26'), Barry (60'), Jailson (64' og.), Parejo (90+10')
Femenia (55'), Albiol (80'), Gueye (85'), Pepe (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Iglesias (12'), Mingueza (31'), Starfelt (80')
Moriba (52'), Swedberg (88'), Alvarez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal
Friday, August 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Celta Vigo
44.96% ( 0.47)	23.89% ( -0.24)	31.15% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 60.12% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1% (

0.99)

41.9% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.7% (

0.99)

64.3% (

-1)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

0.6)

18.87% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66% (

0.99)

50.34% (

-1)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

0.34)

25.89% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

0.46)

60.87% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 44.96%

Celta Vigo 31.15%

Draw 23.88%

Villarreal	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.38% Total : 44.96%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.15%