Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 46.4% ( | 25% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( | 48.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( | 70.37% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( | 20.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( | 53.49% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% | 30.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |