Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sevilla |
| 49.91% ( | 25.08% ( | 25% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( | 51.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( | 72.88% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( | 35.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% ( | 71.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 25% |