Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.