Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-3 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for an Al Ahli win it was 2-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.