Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Al Gharafa	Draw	Al-Sadd
30.04% ( -0.16)	22.69% ( 0.07)	47.27% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 63.85% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.28% (

-0.45)

36.72% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.12% (

-0.49)

58.88% (

0.48)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97% (

-0.32)

24.02% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.71% (

-0.46)

58.28% (

0.45)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04% (

-0.14)

15.95% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.76% (

-0.25)

45.23% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Al Gharafa 30.04%

Al-Sadd 47.27%

Draw 22.69%

Al Gharafa	Draw	Al-Sadd
2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.27%