Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.