Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Al-Sadd
4 - 0
Al Gharafa

Afif (27' pen.), Al Heidos (30'), Assadalla (54', 60')
Afif (33'), Al Heidos (34'), Abdel Razaq (48'), Amin Hazbavi (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lyanco (25'), Boulaya (56'), Brahimi (64')
Lyanco (90')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al-Sadd and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Sadd

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Qatar SC 1-3 Al-Sadd
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Gharafa 3-2 Al-Duhail
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.

Result
Al-SaddDrawAl Gharafa
51.66% (-0.197 -0.2)21.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)26.71% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 65.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)33.93% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.21% (-0.134 -0.13)55.79% (0.129 0.13)
Al-Sadd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)13.46% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)40.46% (0.201 0.2)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.74% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (0.049999999999997 0.05)59.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Al-Sadd 51.66%
    Al Gharafa 26.71%
    Draw 21.62%
Al-SaddDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 26.71%