Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.