Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Al Shamal had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for an Al Shamal win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.