Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar SC would win this match.