Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.