Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Arabi would win this match.