Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 2-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.