Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 11
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Thani Bin Jassim Stadium

Al Gharafa
1 - 1
Al Shamal

Boli (43')
Sassi (45+1'), Ahmed (90+1'), Traore (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomes (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Gharafa and Al Shamal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Wakrah
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Shamal

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-0 Al Shamal
Friday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Al GharafaDrawAl Shamal
49.27% (-0.353 -0.35)22.16% (0.074000000000002 0.07)28.57% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 64.77% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92% (-0.167 -0.17)35.07% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (-0.185 -0.18)57.07% (0.177 0.18)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)14.64% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (-0.341 -0.34)42.77% (0.334 0.33)
Al Shamal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.087999999999994 0.09)24.11% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (0.128 0.13)58.41% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Al Gharafa 49.27%
    Al Shamal 28.57%
    Draw 22.16%
Al GharafaDrawAl Shamal
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.57%