Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.