Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al Shamal in this match.