Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Umm Salal had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Umm Salal win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.