Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.