Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Al-Faisaly had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Al-Faisaly win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.