AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 4, 2023 at 4pm UK

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Al-Sadd
2 - 2
Nasaf

Uribe (5'), Bounedjah (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jighauri (83', 90')
Jighauri (83'), Abdurakhimov (90+10'), Chavez (90+13')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Sadd and Nasaf.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Sadd

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-0 Al Shamal
Friday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Goals
for

Nasaf

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Nasaf 3-1 Al-Faisaly
Monday, November 27 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Al Gharafa	30	3.00	Brahimi
2	Al-Sadd	25	3.13	Afif
3	Al-Rayyan	20	2.00	Guedes
4	Al Arabi	18	2.00	Al Somah
5	Al-Duhail	18	2.25	Olunga
6	Qatar SC	18	1.80	Tabata
7	Al Ahli	17	1.70	Sliti
8	Al Wakrah	16	1.78	Benyettou
9	Umm Salal	16	1.60	Delort
10	Al Mu'aidar	15	1.50	Mbenza
11	Al Shamal	15	1.50	Gomes
12	Al Markhiya	5	0.50	Njie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nasaf had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Nasaf win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Al-Sadd	Draw	Nasaf
51.18% ( 2.73)	24.63% ( -0.68)	24.2% ( -2.05)

Both teams to score 52.17% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

1.14)

49.86% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

1.01)

71.85% (

-1.01)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

1.59)

19.48% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66% (

2.54)

51.34% (

-2.54)

Nasaf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79% (

-1.13)

35.21% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.04% (

-1.19)

71.96% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Al-Sadd 51.17%

Nasaf 24.2%

Draw 24.62%

Al-Sadd	Draw	Nasaf
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.17%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.2%