Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for an Al Markhiya win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.