AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sharjah Stadium

Sharjah
1 - 0
Nasaf

Caio (45+5')
Hassan (11'), Abdulbasit (90+13'), Marega (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mozgovoy (13')
Nasrullayev (41'), Abdirahmatov (90')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sharjah FC and Nasaf.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sharjah 1-0 Al-Faisaly
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Nasaf 3-1 Al-Sadd
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Sharjah FC had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Sharjah FC win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Sharjah FCDrawNasaf
32.66% (1.128 1.13)27.59% (0.21 0.21)39.75% (-1.343 -1.34)
Both teams to score 48.6% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.529 -0.53)57.06% (0.524 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.423 -0.42)77.94% (0.42 0.42)
Sharjah FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (0.51300000000001 0.51)32.46% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.576 0.58)68.98% (-0.581 -0.58)
Nasaf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.994 -0.99)28.04% (0.989 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-1.281 -1.28)63.7% (1.276 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Sharjah FC 32.66%
    Nasaf 39.75%
    Draw 27.59%
Sharjah FCDrawNasaf
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.343 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.75%

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