Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wihdat win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Nasaf had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wihdat win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Nasaf win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.