Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 8
Nov 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Grand Hamad Stadium

Al Mu'aidar
1 - 3
Umm Salal

Arias (30')
Arias (39'), Traore (57'), Hamed (89'), Al Hasia (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Delort (57', 75' pen., 80')
Hassunin (23'), Laidouni (64')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Mu'aidar and Umm Salal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Mu'aidar

All competitions
Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 0-2 Al-Sadd
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Umm Salal

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wakrah 2-1 Umm Salal
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.

Result
Al Mu'aidarDrawUmm Salal
32.6% (0.13399999999999 0.13)24.49% (0.036000000000001 0.04)42.91% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.125 -0.13)44.09% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (-0.122 -0.12)66.47% (0.121 0.12)
Al Mu'aidar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.128 -0.13)20.66% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.203 -0.2)53.24% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Al Mu'aidar 32.6%
    Umm Salal 42.91%
    Draw 24.48%
Al Mu'aidarDrawUmm Salal
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.6%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 9% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.91%