Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.