Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.1%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.