Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al-Rayyan in this match.