Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Mu'aidar win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.28%) and 1-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.