Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Alaves |
| 44.99% ( | 26.54% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( | 54.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% ( | 75.86% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( | 24.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( | 58.44% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( | 34.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( | 70.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 28.47% |