Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.